Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flekkerøy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flekkerøy 0-1 Odd II
Original prediction
Flekkerøy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.3% | 67.2% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 19.7% | 15.3% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.0% | 17.5% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.4–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Flekkerøy
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
Flekkerøy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlekkerøyWWDLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Odd IIWLDWW
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FlekkerøyOdd II
68.2Attack59.1
45.5Defence24.2
59.1Form39.4
58.0Power41.3
3.73xG1.80