Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flekkerøy 0-2 Madla
Original prediction
Madla
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.7% | 34.2% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 24.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.4% | 41.4% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Madla
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Madla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlekkerøyWLLLD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MadlaWDWDW
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FlekkerøyMadla
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power84.5
1.99xG2.78