GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fleetwood Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fleetwood Town are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tranmere are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fleetwood Town hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Fleetwood Town holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fleetwood Town

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Fleetwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fleetwood TownLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TranmereLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fleetwood TownTranmere
75.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
58.3Form11.1
59.4Power29.5
2.12xG1.22
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