Fleetwood Townvs
Oldham
SCHEDULEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fleetwood Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Oldham are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00