GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fleetwood Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fleetwood Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Leicester City U21 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fleetwood Town hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 23.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Fleetwood Town holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fleetwood Town

Probability

66.5%

Model confidence

66.5%

Fleetwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fleetwood TownDDWLD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Leicester City U21WL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/3.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Fleetwood TownLeicester City U21
75.0Attack22.2
50.0Defence0.0
58.3Form33.3
59.4Power23.0
2.84xG1.22
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