GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fleetwood Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fleetwood Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leeds United U21 are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fleetwood Town hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Fleetwood Town holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fleetwood Town

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

68.0%

Fleetwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fleetwood TownLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Leeds United U21LLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.67/2.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Fleetwood TownLeeds United U21
75.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence0.0
58.3Form0.0
59.4Power15.8
2.94xG1.21
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