Fleetwood Townvs
Leeds United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleetwood Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Fleetwood Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leeds United U21 are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fleetwood Town hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Fleetwood Town holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fleetwood Town
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
68.0%
Fleetwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.67/2.67