GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fleetwood Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fleetwood Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Barrow are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fleetwood Town hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Fleetwood Town holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fleetwood Town

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

59.5%

Fleetwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fleetwood TownDWWDD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BarrowWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Fleetwood TownBarrow
75.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
58.3Form33.3
59.4Power37.2
2.49xG1.29
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