Fleetwood Townvs
Aston Villa U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleetwood Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Fleetwood Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fleetwood Town hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Fleetwood Town holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fleetwood Town
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Fleetwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/3.00