GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fleetwood Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fleetwood Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Accrington ST are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.4 against 57.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Fleetwood Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fleetwood Town

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Fleetwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fleetwood TownWDLDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Accrington STDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fleetwood TownAccrington ST
75.0Attack60.0
50.0Defence46.7
58.3Form60.0
59.4Power57.7
2.18xG1.64
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