Fleetwood Town U21vs
Swansea City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swansea City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fleetwood Town U21 2-1 Swansea City U21
Original prediction
Swansea City U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.69 | 24.5% | 29.5% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.8% | 23.4% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.7% | 47.1% | -7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Swansea City U21
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Swansea City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40