Fleetwood Town U21vs
Sheffield Wednesday U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fleetwood Town U21 3-1 Sheffield Wednesday U21
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.1% | 36.1% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.8% | 27.4% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.1% | 36.5% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Sheffield Wednesday U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20