Fleetwood Town U21vs
Burnley U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleetwood Town U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fleetwood Town U21 1-2 Burnley U21
Original prediction
Fleetwood Town U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.9% | 43.8% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.2% | 21.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.8% | 34.7% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Fleetwood Town U21
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Fleetwood Town U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20