Fleetwood Town U21vs
Barnsley U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleetwood Town U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fleetwood Town U21 2-2 Barnsley U21
Original prediction
Fleetwood Town U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.6% | 48.3% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.6% | 21.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.8% | 30.2% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Fleetwood Town U21
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Fleetwood Town U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80