Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flandria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Flandria are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ituzaingó are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Flandria hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.0% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Flandria holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flandria
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
25.0%
Flandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40