Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Flandria 0-0 Dock Sud, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Flandria 1-2 Dock Sud
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.2% | 31.6% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.2% | 32.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.6% | 35.6% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Flandria 0–0 Dock Sud
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.8%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlandriaLWLWL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dock SudDLLWW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FlandriaDock Sud
29.6Attack35.2
58.3Defence64.8
35.2Form40.7
43.5Power48.2
0.67xG0.82