Flamurtarivs
Besëlidhja Lezhë
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamurtari · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flamurtari 1-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë
Original prediction
Flamurtari
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.8% | 44.4% | -18.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.2% | 27.0% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 6.02 | 15.0% | 28.6% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Flamurtari
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Flamurtari has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60