Flamengo Wvs
São Paulo W
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasileiro Women · 9/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São Paulo W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flamengo W 1-3 São Paulo W
Original prediction
São Paulo W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.1% | 31.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.1% | 30.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.7% | 38.6% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
São Paulo W
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
São Paulo W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20