Flamengovs
Vasco DA Gama
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Flamengo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (66.2 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
72.7%
Model confidence
16.2%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80