GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Flamengo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (66.2 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flamengo

Probability

72.7%

Model confidence

16.2%

Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FlamengoDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vasco DA GamaWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FlamengoVasco DA Gama
61.9Attack36.5
71.4Defence50.8
66.7Form34.9
66.2Power43.5
2.10xG0.53
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