Flamengovs
Independiente del Valle
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 9/18/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flamengo 1-1 Independiente del Valle
Original prediction
Flamengo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 69.0% | 60.2% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.9% | 22.7% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 7.69 | 12.1% | 17.1% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80