Flamengovs
Estudiantes L.P.
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 10/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Flamengo 0-0 Estudiantes L.P., with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Flamengo 0-0 Estudiantes L.P.
Original prediction
Flamengo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 70.9% | 56.2% | -14.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 20.3% | 28.7% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 10.71 | 8.8% | 15.1% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.7 pts
Projected Score
Flamengo 0–0 Estudiantes L.P.
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00