Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Flamengo are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Coritiba are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (66.2 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33