Flamengo U20vs
Criciuma U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flamengo U20 4-1 Criciuma U20
Original prediction
Flamengo U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.1% | 43.3% | -16.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.5% | 24.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 5.15 | 17.4% | 32.3% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo U20
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Flamengo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80