Flamengo SPvs
Sporting Paulinense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 5/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Flamengo SP are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting Paulinense are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo SP hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.4% in the Paulista Série B, while Flamengo SP holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flamengo SP
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
22.4%
Flamengo SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50