GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 4/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flamengo SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Flamengo SP are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Guarulhos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo SP hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Paulista Série B, while Flamengo SP holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flamengo SP

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

13.9%

Flamengo SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flamengo SPDDDLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
GuarulhosWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Flamengo SPGuarulhos
41.7Attack63.3
81.3Defence50.0
75.0Form53.3
69.0Power54.6
1.40xG0.88
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