GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flamengo FBC W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Flamengo FBC W 1-0 UNSAAC W

Original prediction

Flamengo FBC W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3664.8%49.1%-15.7 pts
Draw4.2520.8%25.8%5.0 pts
Away6.1414.4%25.1%10.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Flamengo FBC W

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Flamengo FBC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flamengo FBC WLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
UNSAAC WWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Flamengo FBC WUNSAAC W
42.6Attack27.8
25.9Defence24.1
27.8Form18.5
33.2Power26.2
2.23xG1.28
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