Flackwell Heathvs
Hanwell Town
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hanwell Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flackwell Heath 0-1 Hanwell Town
Original prediction
Hanwell Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.70 | 24.7% | 34.8% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.5% | 27.5% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 51.7% | 37.7% | -14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Hanwell Town
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Hanwell Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00