GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 4/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FKS Ukmergė · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

FKS Ukmergė are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Širvėna Biržai are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FKS Ukmergė hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Cup, while FKS Ukmergė holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FKS Ukmergė

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

8.4%

FKS Ukmergė has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FKS UkmergėLLWWL

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Širvėna BiržaiLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/4.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
FKS UkmergėŠirvėna Biržai
33.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
45.8Power7.0
2.60xG1.67
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