GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/11/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Zalgiris Vilnius · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Struga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Zalgiris Vilnius hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the UEFA Champions League, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Zalgiris VilniusWWWWD

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
StrugaLLLDW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FK Zalgiris VilniusStruga
33.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence66.7
41.7Form16.7
50.3Power36.5
1.36xG1.03
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