UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:04
FK Zalgiris Vilnius

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Home
WW
21
Full time
Petrovac

Petrovac

Away
LL
LFF stadionas
GoalVio prediction
68% confidence
FK Zalgiris Vilnius(68%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Win probability
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
68%
Draw
21%
Petrovac
11%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
86
Petrovac
34
Defence
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
66
Petrovac
14
Momentum
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
100
Petrovac
0
Danger (xG)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.25
Petrovac
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (FK Zalgiris Vilnius)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Petrovac)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FK Zalgiris Vilnius)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Petrovac)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius
WWWDL
PetrovacPetrovac
LLD

Probability breakdown

68% confidence
FK Zalgiris Vilnius68%
Draw21%
Petrovac11%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius leads with 68% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FK Zalgiris Vilnius head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at LFF stadionas in decent form (WW), while Petrovac arrive in mixed form (LL). FK Zalgiris Vilnius have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Petrovac over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. FK Zalgiris Vilnius's elite attack (86/100) faces a vulnerable Petrovac defence (14/100), while Petrovac's attack is up against a solid FK Zalgiris Vilnius backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in FK Zalgiris Vilnius's favour.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Petrovac have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 3.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win with 68% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 6807%, Draw 2065%, Petrovac 1128%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2Draws 00 Petrovac
Avg goals: 3.5BTTS in 2/2
16 Jul 2026
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
W21
Petrovac
9 Jul 2026
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
W31
Petrovac

Recent form

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

W
vs Petrovac
16 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Petrovac
9 Jul 2026
31
W
@ Šiauliai
5 Jul 2026
30
D
@ Džiugas Telšiai
28 Jun 2026
00
L
@ Banga
20 Jun 2026
03
Petrovac

Petrovac

L
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
16 Jul 2026
12
L
vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
9 Jul 2026
13
D
vs Jedinstvo
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac?

GoalVio's model predicts FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win with 68% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more