FK Zalgiris Vilniusvs
Panevėžys
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panevėžys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-2 Panevėžys
Original prediction
Panevėžys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.0% | 35.5% | -14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.4% | 26.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.5% | 37.5% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Panevėžys
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Panevėžys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40