GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/19/2023, 3:55:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Zalgiris Vilnius · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FK Trakai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Zalgiris Vilnius hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.1% in the A Lyga, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Probability

83.1%

Model confidence

83.1%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Zalgiris VilniusDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK TrakaiDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Trakai
52.2Attack9.8
62.3Defence11.8
55.1Form5.9
57.1Power14.3
2.84xG0.46
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