GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/10/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Zalgiris Vilnius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while BK Hacken are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and BK Hacken hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Zalgiris VilniusDLLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BK HackenDWDLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK Zalgiris VilniusBK Hacken
16.7Attack53.3
0.0Defence30.0
0.0Form33.3
11.2Power38.8
1.84xG1.75
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