GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/11/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Banga are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.1 against 58.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the A Lyga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Zalgiris VilniusLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BangaLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga
52.2Attack47.2
62.3Defence73.6
55.1Form54.2
57.1Power58.3
0.88xG0.97
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