GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FK Vozdovac 2-3 TSC Backa Topola

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9730.1%35.4%5.3 pts
Draw3.0229.6%30.3%0.7 pts
Away2.2240.3%34.3%-6.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–013%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.3%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK VozdovacWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TSC Backa TopolaDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
FK VozdovacTSC Backa Topola
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power50.0
1.15xG0.97
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