Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panevėžys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
FK Trakai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Panevėžys are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Panevėžys hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the A Lyga, while Panevėžys holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Panevėžys
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Panevėžys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40