GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 2/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

FK Trakai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kauno Žalgiris

Probability

89.2%

Model confidence

17.5%

Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK TrakaiLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kauno ŽalgirisWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FK TrakaiKauno Žalgiris
9.8Attack66.7
11.8Defence76.8
5.9Form62.3
14.3Power66.9
0.35xG3.15
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