FK Trakaivs
Kauno Žalgiris
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 2/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
FK Trakai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris
Probability
89.2%
Model confidence
17.5%
Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80