Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šiauliai · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FK Trakai are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Šiauliai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Šiauliai hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the A Lyga, while Šiauliai holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šiauliai
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Šiauliai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80