Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šiauliai · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FK Trakai are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Šiauliai are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Šiauliai hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the A Lyga, while Šiauliai holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šiauliai
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
13.9%
Šiauliai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00