FK Tobol Kostanayvs
Zhenys
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Tobol Kostanay · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Tobol Kostanay 0-0 Zhenys, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Tobol Kostanay 4-2 Zhenys
Original prediction
FK Tobol Kostanay
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.2% | 46.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.2% | 27.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.6% | 25.5% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
FK Tobol Kostanay 0–0 Zhenys
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FK Tobol Kostanay
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
FK Tobol Kostanay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00