FK Tobol Kostanayvs
Yelimay Semey
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Tobol Kostanay · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Tobol Kostanay 0-2 Yelimay Semey
Original prediction
FK Tobol Kostanay
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.9% | 42.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 25.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.5% | 32.1% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
FK Tobol Kostanay
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
FK Tobol Kostanay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00