FK Tobol Kostanayvs
Ulytau
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Tobol Kostanay · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Tobol Kostanay 0-0 Ulytau, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Tobol Kostanay 3-1 Ulytau
Original prediction
FK Tobol Kostanay
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 49.0% | 38.8% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.7% | 31.3% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.3% | 30.0% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Projected Score
FK Tobol Kostanay 0–0 Ulytau
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
FK Tobol Kostanay
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
FK Tobol Kostanay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60