GGOALVIO

FK Tobol Kostanay logoFK Tobol KostanayvsShakhter Karagandy logoShakhter Karagandy

COMPLETED

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/14/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FK Tobol Kostanay are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.8 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Tobol KostanayWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shakhter KaragandyLLWDL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FK Tobol KostanayShakhter Karagandy
35.0Attack40.0
53.3Defence53.3
36.7Form37.3
43.8Power45.5
1.04xG1.02
View match centre →