GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 4/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

FK Tobol Kostanay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kairat Almaty are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kairat Almaty hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 72.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Premier League, while Kairat Almaty holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kairat Almaty

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

16.9%

Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Tobol KostanayWLLDL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kairat AlmatyWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FK Tobol KostanayKairat Almaty
35.0Attack65.0
53.3Defence76.7
36.7Form75.0
43.8Power72.5
0.52xG1.81
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