GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 5/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Tobol Kostanay · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Tobol Kostanay are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Irtysh are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Tobol Kostanay hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Premier League, while FK Tobol Kostanay holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Tobol Kostanay

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

16.3%

FK Tobol Kostanay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Tobol KostanayLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IrtyshLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Tobol KostanayIrtysh
35.0Attack33.3
53.3Defence53.3
36.7Form28.3
43.8Power41.3
1.06xG0.84
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