GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/4/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Tobol Kostanay · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FK Tobol Kostanay are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while FK Aksu are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Tobol Kostanay hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Premier League, while FK Tobol Kostanay holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Tobol Kostanay

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

FK Tobol Kostanay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Tobol KostanayLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
FK AksuLDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
FK Tobol KostanayFK Aksu
35.0Attack30.7
53.3Defence44.0
36.7Form24.0
43.8Power35.4
1.29xG0.76
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