Premier LeaguePremier League
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:08
FK Tobol Kostanay

FK Tobol Kostanay

Home
W
31
Full time
Altay

Altay

Away
L
Centralnyj Stadion
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
FK Tobol Kostanay(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: FK Tobol Kostanay
Win probability
FK Tobol Kostanay
40%
Draw
30%
Altay
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FK Tobol Kostanay
94
Altay
34
Defence
FK Tobol Kostanay
66
Altay
6
Momentum
FK Tobol Kostanay
100
Altay
0
Danger (xG)
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.70
Altay
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (FK Tobol Kostanay)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Altay)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FK Tobol Kostanay)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Altay)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
WWD
AltayAltay
LLD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
FK Tobol Kostanay40%
Draw30%
Altay30%

FK Tobol Kostanay leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FK Tobol Kostanay head into this in Premier League fixture at Centralnyj Stadion in mixed form (W), while Altay arrive in mixed form (L). FK Tobol Kostanay have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Altay over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. FK Tobol Kostanay's elite attack (94/100) faces a vulnerable Altay defence (6/100), while Altay's attack is up against a solid FK Tobol Kostanay backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in FK Tobol Kostanay's favour.

FK Tobol Kostanay have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Altay have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.

FK Tobol Kostanay have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects FK Tobol Kostanay to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: FK Tobol Kostanay 4030%, Draw 3000%, Altay 2970%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

FK Tobol Kostanay 1Draws 00 Altay
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
FK Tobol Kostanay
W31
Altay

Recent form

FK Tobol Kostanay

FK Tobol Kostanay

W
vs Okzhetpes
12 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Altay
28 Jun 2026
31
D
@ Kaisar
13 May 2026
11
Altay

Altay

L
@ Ordabasy
15 Jul 2026
13
L
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
28 Jun 2026
13
D
@ Aktobe
13 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Altay?

GoalVio's model predicts FK Tobol Kostanay to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Altay?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Altay?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Altay?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more