FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVvs
Naftagas
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 0-6 Naftagas
Original prediction
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.0% | 46.1% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.4% | 27.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 5.16 | 17.5% | 26.2% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20