GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 0-2 FK Vozdovac

Original prediction

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7551.6%46.7%-4.9 pts
Draw3.5425.5%26.9%1.4 pts
Away3.9522.9%26.4%3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVLWWDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK VozdovacWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVFK Vozdovac
83.3Attack44.4
50.0Defence44.4
66.7Form33.3
68.0Power43.7
1.60xG0.99
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