FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVvs
Borac Cacak
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borac Cacak · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 3-3 Borac Cacak
Original prediction
Borac Cacak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.4% | 24.8% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.3% | 20.5% | -6.8 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.4% | 54.7% | 20.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Borac Cacak
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Borac Cacak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80