GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Spartak Tambov · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

FK Spartak Tambov are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Zenit Penza are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Spartak Tambov hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the Second League - Group 3, while FK Spartak Tambov holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Spartak Tambov

Probability

86.3%

Model confidence

15.9%

FK Spartak Tambov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Spartak TambovDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Zenit PenzaLLLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Spartak TambovZenit Penza
57.9Attack33.3
82.5Defence29.6
82.5Form25.9
75.3Power31.5
2.98xG0.43
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